working_paper

Left-Digit Bias in Household Inflation Expectations

This paper theoretically defines and empirically tests left-digit bias in household inflation expectations. Using cross-country data and a regression discontinuity design, we find that inflation expectations jump discontinuously when inflation …

Bubble-Driven Business Cycles

Pronounced and persistent fluctuations in aggregate wealth and real activity - boom-bust episodes - have become more prevalent in recent history. In this paper, I provide a quantitative explanation for such boom-bust episodes based on rational …