working_paper

Left-Digit Bias in Household Inflation Expectations

People often process numbers in simplified ways. One such simplification is left-digit bias, the tendency to give more weight to the leftmost digit of a number. We study whether this bias affects how households process inflation numbers when forming …

Bubble-Driven Business Cycles

Pronounced and persistent fluctuations in aggregate wealth and real activity - boom-bust episodes - have become more prevalent in recent history. In this paper, I provide a quantitative explanation for such boom-bust episodes based on rational …